An
annual survey of American attitudes about politics and values released
Tuesday found, to no one’s surprise, that the nation’s divisions are
growing dangerously deep and wide.
More
than half the people in both the Republican and Democratic parties see
the other side as a “serious threat to the country,” the American Values
Survey by the Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) found. At a
panel discussion at the Brookings Institution to discuss the poll
findings, Henry Olsen, a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy
Center, said a “pre-Spanish Civil War mentality” was taking hold among
voters.
The
word “war” itself was mentioned numerous times by the panelists, in
reference to the way both left and right see politics now as a zero-sum
fight.
The good news — or the bad, depending on how one views it — is that the divisions are mostly not about policy, but symbolism.
“When
you’re at war symbols begin to matter more,” said Robert Jones, CEO of
PRRI. “Confederate monuments, flags … the [border] wall is part of
that.”
But, he added, “If you talk policy, Americans are pragmatic.”
He
cited a finding in the latest values survey, which PRRI has conducted
for eight years in a row, that around half of Republicans support a path
to citizenship for undocumented immigrants. He contrasted that with the
political rhetoric from President Trump about building a wall along the
U.S.-Mexico border.
“It’s
the symbolic issues that are animating more than the actual policy
issues,” Jones said. “When you turn from symbols to policy, there’s less
polarization.”
There
was agreement among the panelists Tuesday, including the conservative
Olsen, that Trump fuels the conflict by highlighting the most
inflammatory public issues.
But
the deeper question is, why are Americans so focused on symbols rather
than substance when it comes to choosing and following political
leaders? Is it a recent phenomenon, brought on by the age of
entertainment over information that has dominated the world since the
advent of television? Or is it a natural human instinct?
Joy
Reid, a panelist who hosts a weekend show on MSNBC, said that the
election of former President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012 was a
symbolic act for many black Americans, and that Trump voters — most of
them white — engaged in countersymbolismSupporters
cheer for then Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama,
D-Ill., at a rally in Sunrise, Fla., in May 2008. (Photo: Chris
Carlson/AP)
Trump
is “almost a flip-side, bizarro-world Obama,” Reid said. “For a lot of
hardcore Obama supporters, Obama was the point. It wasn’t specifically
that he would do some specific economic thing,” Reid said. “It was the
symbolism of having somebody who was not white, somebody who has
international roots in his family, somebody who represented a changing
America.”
Similarly,
Reid said, “For a lot of Trump supporters Trump is the point. It isn’t
his policies. It’s not what he’s going to do even for them.”
“Just
having that man, who is white and very ethnonationalist in his
whitenesss … very proactive about putting forward his gender and racial
identity and saying I represent this and I’ll attack the people who in
your view are detriments to it … that’s kind of the point,” she said.
Reid
said that Democrats who want to “convert” Trump voters may be chasing a
lost cause. “I’m not sure that can be done,” she said. “He has a power
over at least a third of the country that I don’t think anything can
break.”
But
while the PRRI study found 15 percent of Trump supporters said there’s
nothing he could do to lose their support, there were twice as many
confirmed opponents of the president. PRRI asked those who disapprove of
Trump if there was anything he could do to win them over, and 33
percent of them said there was not.
E.J.
Dionne, a Washington Post columnist who was also on the panel,
disagreed with Reid that no Trump voters could be won over. “To me these
numbers show that there are a substantial number of Trump voters or
supporters who can be converted,” he said, citing Trump’s approval numbers, which are down to 39 percent in the average of all polls, while 56 percent disapprove.
“This
is a substantial drop-off from where Trump stood on Election Day 2016,”
Dionne said. A year ago, right after he was elected, Trump had a 44
percent approval rating, and a 50 percent disapproval rating.
Olsen’s
explanations for the victory of symbolism over substance, and the rise
of Trumpism, had more to do with a loss of what Jones called “cultural
dominance” combined with economic vulnerability for some of the
president’s supporters.
Trump’s voter base “feeds on fear,” Olsen said.
But he cautioned against dismissing them, saying that would only increase the risk of violence.
“If
you’re educated and well-off, you tend to look at these reactions as
being hopelessly naive, out of touch, racist, irrational and
consequently worthy of being ignored,” Olsen said. “If that’s the
response, you shouldn’t expect them to give up their arms. … If the
answer is basically to build a wall around populism, what you simply do
is build up tension, build up the partisanship. And then, if you go
through some sort of economic decline that makes even more people
despairing, you raise the possibility of a much more dangerous
counterreaction.”
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